Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight a post-heatwave cooldown arriving August 6, with largely sunny skies and lighter winds favoring enhanced radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 26°C. This setup, following several days above 30°C, has shifted trader focus toward a minimum near 15°C (leading at 43% implied probability), consistent with climatological August lows of 14–16°C but tempered by residual warmth. Ensemble spreads and BBC guidance show modest downside risk to 14°C or 12°C under clearer conditions, while any increased cloud cover could hold readings at 16–17°C. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds ahead of official station readings used for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 6 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 6 août ?
15°C 43%
16°C 24%
14°C 19%
13°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
12°C ou moins
5%
13°C
10%
14°C
19%
15°C
43%
16°C
24%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C ou plus
2%
15°C 43%
16°C 24%
14°C 19%
13°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$11 Vol.
5%
13°C
$64 Vol.
10%
14°C
$13 Vol.
19%
15°C
$21 Vol.
43%
16°C
$7 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight a post-heatwave cooldown arriving August 6, with largely sunny skies and lighter winds favoring enhanced radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 26°C. This setup, following several days above 30°C, has shifted trader focus toward a minimum near 15°C (leading at 43% implied probability), consistent with climatological August lows of 14–16°C but tempered by residual warmth. Ensemble spreads and BBC guidance show modest downside risk to 14°C or 12°C under clearer conditions, while any increased cloud cover could hold readings at 16–17°C. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds ahead of official station readings used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$161Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight a post-heatwave cooldown arriving August 6, with largely sunny skies and lighter winds favoring enhanced radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 26°C. This setup, following several days above 30°C, has shifted trader focus toward a minimum near 15°C (leading at 43% implied probability), consistent with climatological August lows of 14–16°C but tempered by residual warmth. Ensemble spreads and BBC guidance show modest downside risk to 14°C or 12°C under clearer conditions, while any increased cloud cover could hold readings at 16–17°C. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds ahead of official station readings used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$161Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight a post-heatwave cooldown arriving August 6, with largely sunny skies and lighter winds favoring enhanced radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 26°C. This setup, following several days above 30°C, has shifted trader focus toward a minimum near 15°C (leading at 43% implied probability), consistent with climatological August lows of 14–16°C but tempered by residual warmth. Ensemble spreads and BBC guidance show modest downside risk to 14°C or 12°C under clearer conditions, while any increased cloud cover could hold readings at 16–17°C. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds ahead of official station readings used for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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