Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta have kept Guangzhou daytime highs in the low 30s through early August, creating tight market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C. Subtropical monsoon patterns and possible weak tropical moisture are limiting solar heating and promoting scattered showers, though ensemble forecasts from global models show divergence on whether skies clear enough by August 4 for peak temperatures to reach the mid-30s. Historical August climatology places average highs near 33°C, yet current conditions favor modest suppression unless drier air advects in ahead of resolution. Traders are closely watching the next 48-hour CMA and ECMWF model runs for updated precipitation and temperature guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 4 août ?
33°C 35%
32°C 30%
34°C 15%
31°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
30%
33°C
35%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
1%
33°C 35%
32°C 30%
34°C 15%
31°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
26°C ou moins
$343 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$443 Vol.
1%
29°C
$64 Vol.
2%
30°C
$15 Vol.
3%
31°C
$38 Vol.
12%
32°C
$53 Vol.
30%
33°C
$168 Vol.
35%
34°C
$75 Vol.
15%
35°C
$72 Vol.
2%
36°C ou plus
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta have kept Guangzhou daytime highs in the low 30s through early August, creating tight market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C. Subtropical monsoon patterns and possible weak tropical moisture are limiting solar heating and promoting scattered showers, though ensemble forecasts from global models show divergence on whether skies clear enough by August 4 for peak temperatures to reach the mid-30s. Historical August climatology places average highs near 33°C, yet current conditions favor modest suppression unless drier air advects in ahead of resolution. Traders are closely watching the next 48-hour CMA and ECMWF model runs for updated precipitation and temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,346Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta have kept Guangzhou daytime highs in the low 30s through early August, creating tight market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C. Subtropical monsoon patterns and possible weak tropical moisture are limiting solar heating and promoting scattered showers, though ensemble forecasts from global models show divergence on whether skies clear enough by August 4 for peak temperatures to reach the mid-30s. Historical August climatology places average highs near 33°C, yet current conditions favor modest suppression unless drier air advects in ahead of resolution. Traders are closely watching the next 48-hour CMA and ECMWF model runs for updated precipitation and temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,346Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta have kept Guangzhou daytime highs in the low 30s through early August, creating tight market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C. Subtropical monsoon patterns and possible weak tropical moisture are limiting solar heating and promoting scattered showers, though ensemble forecasts from global models show divergence on whether skies clear enough by August 4 for peak temperatures to reach the mid-30s. Historical August climatology places average highs near 33°C, yet current conditions favor modest suppression unless drier air advects in ahead of resolution. Traders are closely watching the next 48-hour CMA and ECMWF model runs for updated precipitation and temperature guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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