Current short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit daytime cooling. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–38°C under similar patterns, but slight increases in moisture or afternoon convection could cap the high at 34°C rather than pushing it to 35°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between these two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer humidity and any late-day sea-breeze effects. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 4 août ?
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
36%
35°C
37%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C ou plus
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
29°C or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$104 Vol.
1%
31°C
$69 Vol.
2%
32°C
$203 Vol.
4%
33°C
$630 Vol.
16%
34°C
$228 Vol.
36%
35°C
$704 Vol.
37%
36°C
$108 Vol.
11%
37°C
$58 Vol.
2%
38°C
$125 Vol.
4%
39°C ou plus
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit daytime cooling. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–38°C under similar patterns, but slight increases in moisture or afternoon convection could cap the high at 34°C rather than pushing it to 35°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between these two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer humidity and any late-day sea-breeze effects. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,331Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit daytime cooling. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–38°C under similar patterns, but slight increases in moisture or afternoon convection could cap the high at 34°C rather than pushing it to 35°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between these two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer humidity and any late-day sea-breeze effects. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,331Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit daytime cooling. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–38°C under similar patterns, but slight increases in moisture or afternoon convection could cap the high at 34°C rather than pushing it to 35°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between these two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer humidity and any late-day sea-breeze effects. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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