**Forecast models indicate a clear, calm night over Munich on September 5–6, 2026, supporting a minimum temperature near the historical average low of 11.4 °C for the date.** High pressure and light northeasterly winds (around 4 mph / 2 m/s) promote radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, with dew points in the 8–10 °C range limiting further drops. Current ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and DWD-MOS shows overnight lows clustered between roughly 11–14 °C (52–57 °F), aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on 9–11 °C. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum: small differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. No major model divergence or incoming weather systems appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated rather than skewed toward outliers. Historical September extremes (record low 2.7 °C in 1993) remain distant given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs or official station observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 6 septembre ?
10°C 26%
9°C 24%
11°C 23%
8°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
17%
6°C
13%
7°C
14%
8°C
22%
9°C
24%
10°C
26%
11°C
23%
12°C
15%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C ou plus
15%
10°C 26%
9°C 24%
11°C 23%
8°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
17%
6°C
$271 Vol.
13%
7°C
$301 Vol.
14%
8°C
$0 Vol.
22%
9°C
$0 Vol.
24%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$10 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
14%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a clear, calm night over Munich on September 5–6, 2026, supporting a minimum temperature near the historical average low of 11.4 °C for the date.** High pressure and light northeasterly winds (around 4 mph / 2 m/s) promote radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, with dew points in the 8–10 °C range limiting further drops. Current ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and DWD-MOS shows overnight lows clustered between roughly 11–14 °C (52–57 °F), aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on 9–11 °C.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum: small differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. No major model divergence or incoming weather systems appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated rather than skewed toward outliers. Historical September extremes (record low 2.7 °C in 1993) remain distant given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs or official station observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$582Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a clear, calm night over Munich on September 5–6, 2026, supporting a minimum temperature near the historical average low of 11.4 °C for the date.** High pressure and light northeasterly winds (around 4 mph / 2 m/s) promote radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, with dew points in the 8–10 °C range limiting further drops. Current ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and DWD-MOS shows overnight lows clustered between roughly 11–14 °C (52–57 °F), aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on 9–11 °C.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum: small differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. No major model divergence or incoming weather systems appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated rather than skewed toward outliers. Historical September extremes (record low 2.7 °C in 1993) remain distant given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs or official station observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$582Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a clear, calm night over Munich on September 5–6, 2026, supporting a minimum temperature near the historical average low of 11.4 °C for the date.** High pressure and light northeasterly winds (around 4 mph / 2 m/s) promote radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, with dew points in the 8–10 °C range limiting further drops. Current ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and DWD-MOS shows overnight lows clustered between roughly 11–14 °C (52–57 °F), aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on 9–11 °C. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum: small differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. No major model divergence or incoming weather systems appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated rather than skewed toward outliers. Historical September extremes (record low 2.7 °C in 1993) remain distant given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs or official station observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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