Current forecast models from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center project Moscow's overnight low on September 6 near 8–11°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds of 6–11 m/s, and light showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling while dew points hover near 11–13°C. These conditions align with September climatology (average low ~9.7°C) and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns without strong cold advection. The near-even market odds on extremes (≤6°C or ≥16°C) reflect genuine short-range uncertainty in minimum temperature resolution, including potential for clearer breaks or heavier rain altering boundary-layer mixing ahead of official verification. Updated model guidance and surface observations will likely refine trader positioning before midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Moscou le 6 septembre ?
6°C ou moins 93%
16°C ou plus 92%
7°C 50%
8°C 50%
6°C ou moins
93%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
28%
11°C
27%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
3%
16°C ou plus
92%
6°C ou moins 93%
16°C ou plus 92%
7°C 50%
8°C 50%
6°C ou moins
93%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
28%
11°C
27%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
3%
16°C ou plus
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center project Moscow's overnight low on September 6 near 8–11°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds of 6–11 m/s, and light showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling while dew points hover near 11–13°C. These conditions align with September climatology (average low ~9.7°C) and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns without strong cold advection. The near-even market odds on extremes (≤6°C or ≥16°C) reflect genuine short-range uncertainty in minimum temperature resolution, including potential for clearer breaks or heavier rain altering boundary-layer mixing ahead of official verification. Updated model guidance and surface observations will likely refine trader positioning before midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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