Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light southerly winds will bring Milan's overnight minimum to approximately 18°C, aligning with climatological averages for late August and supporting the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dew points near 17°C limit further drops, while historical data show minima rarely fall below 16°C without significant synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or warmer air advection from the Mediterranean, which could hold temperatures above 19°C and is currently assigned low odds by traders incorporating the latest model consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 30 août ?
18°C 96%
14°C or below 6%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,383 Vol.
$1,383 Vol.
30 août 2026
14°C or below
6%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
96%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 96%
14°C or below 6%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,383 Vol.
$1,383 Vol.
30 août 2026
14°C or below
$27 Vol.
6%
15°C
$49 Vol.
1%
16°C
$169 Vol.
2%
17°C
$142 Vol.
2%
18°C
$761 Vol.
96%
19°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light southerly winds will bring Milan's overnight minimum to approximately 18°C, aligning with climatological averages for late August and supporting the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dew points near 17°C limit further drops, while historical data show minima rarely fall below 16°C without significant synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or warmer air advection from the Mediterranean, which could hold temperatures above 19°C and is currently assigned low odds by traders incorporating the latest model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,383Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light southerly winds will bring Milan's overnight minimum to approximately 18°C, aligning with climatological averages for late August and supporting the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dew points near 17°C limit further drops, while historical data show minima rarely fall below 16°C without significant synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or warmer air advection from the Mediterranean, which could hold temperatures above 19°C and is currently assigned low odds by traders incorporating the latest model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,383Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light southerly winds will bring Milan's overnight minimum to approximately 18°C, aligning with climatological averages for late August and supporting the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dew points near 17°C limit further drops, while historical data show minima rarely fall below 16°C without significant synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or warmer air advection from the Mediterranean, which could hold temperatures above 19°C and is currently assigned low odds by traders incorporating the latest model consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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