India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Lucknow le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Lucknow le 20 septembre ?
21°C ou moins 54%
31°C ou plus 54%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
54%
22°C
15%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
40%
26°C
48%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
54%
21°C ou moins 54%
31°C ou plus 54%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
54%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$28 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$28Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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