Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for Hong Kong on September 13, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where typical overnight lows range 26–27°C under similar tropical conditions without cold-front intrusions. Model consensus shows little overnight drop below 26°C, with any brief dips unlikely to reach 25°C amid dew points near 24–25°C. Traders assign 76% implied probability to 27°C as the daily low based on these stable atmospheric patterns, with smaller shares on 26°C reflecting minor forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings from official stations. Final Hong Kong Observatory observations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 13 septembre ?
27°C 83%
26°C 21%
25°C 10%
24°C 4%
$16,483 Vol.
$16,483 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
14%
27°C
80%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
1%
27°C 83%
26°C 21%
25°C 10%
24°C 4%
$16,483 Vol.
$16,483 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$739 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,038 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,389 Vol.
4%
25°C
$2,819 Vol.
10%
26°C
$2,033 Vol.
14%
27°C
$5,623 Vol.
80%
28°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$164 Vol.
1%
30°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$77 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for Hong Kong on September 13, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where typical overnight lows range 26–27°C under similar tropical conditions without cold-front intrusions. Model consensus shows little overnight drop below 26°C, with any brief dips unlikely to reach 25°C amid dew points near 24–25°C. Traders assign 76% implied probability to 27°C as the daily low based on these stable atmospheric patterns, with smaller shares on 26°C reflecting minor forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings from official stations. Final Hong Kong Observatory observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,483Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for Hong Kong on September 13, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where typical overnight lows range 26–27°C under similar tropical conditions without cold-front intrusions. Model consensus shows little overnight drop below 26°C, with any brief dips unlikely to reach 25°C amid dew points near 24–25°C. Traders assign 76% implied probability to 27°C as the daily low based on these stable atmospheric patterns, with smaller shares on 26°C reflecting minor forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings from official stations. Final Hong Kong Observatory observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,483Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for Hong Kong on September 13, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where typical overnight lows range 26–27°C under similar tropical conditions without cold-front intrusions. Model consensus shows little overnight drop below 26°C, with any brief dips unlikely to reach 25°C amid dew points near 24–25°C. Traders assign 76% implied probability to 27°C as the daily low based on these stable atmospheric patterns, with smaller shares on 26°C reflecting minor forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings from official stations. Final Hong Kong Observatory observations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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