Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, are moderating nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low in the mid-20s °C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds between 24–26 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including elevated humidity near 80–90% and light northerly winds, further limit temperature drops by trapping heat and sustaining dew points around 24–25 °C. Official forecasts from multiple models project a daily minimum near 25 °C, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.9 °C for the date, while recent days’ similar patterns of afternoon convection have produced comparable overnight readings. Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty over exact clearing timing and rainfall intensity, which could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C depending on final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 5 septembre ?
23°C 88%
26°C 51%
25°C 49%
24°C 45%
19°C ou moins
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
88%
24°C
45%
25°C
49%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 88%
26°C 51%
25°C 49%
24°C 45%
19°C ou moins
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
88%
24°C
45%
25°C
49%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, are moderating nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low in the mid-20s °C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds between 24–26 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including elevated humidity near 80–90% and light northerly winds, further limit temperature drops by trapping heat and sustaining dew points around 24–25 °C. Official forecasts from multiple models project a daily minimum near 25 °C, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.9 °C for the date, while recent days’ similar patterns of afternoon convection have produced comparable overnight readings. Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty over exact clearing timing and rainfall intensity, which could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C depending on final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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