Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chongqing le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chongqing le 26 août ?
22°C or below 55%
32°C or higher 55%
26°C 50%
24°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
22°C or below
55%
23°C
37%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
48%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
55%
22°C or below 55%
32°C or higher 55%
26°C 50%
24°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
55%
23°C
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$0 Vol.
48%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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