Current ensemble forecasts for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and residual moisture that limits radiative cooling overnight while capping daytime highs around 25–27°C. This places the most probable outcome in the mid-range bins, yet the near-even market split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher reflects model spread in boundary-layer humidity and subtle steering-pattern shifts that could alter the diurnal range by 2–4°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will update within the next 24–48 hours, narrowing resolution criteria tied to verified station observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chengdu le 21 septembre ?
16°C ou moins 100%
26°C ou plus 95%
20°C 40%
22°C 40%
16°C ou moins
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
29%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C ou plus
95%
16°C ou moins 100%
26°C ou plus 95%
20°C 40%
22°C 40%
16°C ou moins
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
29%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C ou plus
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Chengdu indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and residual moisture that limits radiative cooling overnight while capping daytime highs around 25–27°C. This places the most probable outcome in the mid-range bins, yet the near-even market split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher reflects model spread in boundary-layer humidity and subtle steering-pattern shifts that could alter the diurnal range by 2–4°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will update within the next 24–48 hours, narrowing resolution criteria tied to verified station observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes