**Trader consensus strongly favors 23°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 5, 2026, with 92% implied probability.** This reflects current official observations and forecast models showing partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 15–30 km/h, and typical early-September maritime conditions that moderate overnight cooling. Korea Meteorological Administration data and multiple numerical weather models indicate daytime highs near 27–29°C transitioning to nighttime minima around 24°C, with the market-implied odds centering on a precise 23°C low consistent with historical September baselines and recent model runs. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling below forecast or stronger winds preventing the expected drop, though current conditions and model agreement make substantial deviations unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Busan le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Busan le 5 septembre ?
23°C 98%
22°C 2%
20°C 1.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
-
22°C
16%
23°C
92%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 98%
22°C 2%
20°C 1.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$67 Vol.
1%
20°C
$67 Vol.
1%
21°C
$67 Vol.
-
22°C
$78 Vol.
16%
23°C
$371 Vol.
92%
24°C
$1,258 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 23°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 5, 2026, with 92% implied probability.** This reflects current official observations and forecast models showing partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 15–30 km/h, and typical early-September maritime conditions that moderate overnight cooling. Korea Meteorological Administration data and multiple numerical weather models indicate daytime highs near 27–29°C transitioning to nighttime minima around 24°C, with the market-implied odds centering on a precise 23°C low consistent with historical September baselines and recent model runs.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling below forecast or stronger winds preventing the expected drop, though current conditions and model agreement make substantial deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,158Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 23°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 5, 2026, with 92% implied probability.** This reflects current official observations and forecast models showing partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 15–30 km/h, and typical early-September maritime conditions that moderate overnight cooling. Korea Meteorological Administration data and multiple numerical weather models indicate daytime highs near 27–29°C transitioning to nighttime minima around 24°C, with the market-implied odds centering on a precise 23°C low consistent with historical September baselines and recent model runs.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling below forecast or stronger winds preventing the expected drop, though current conditions and model agreement make substantial deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,158Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 23°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 5, 2026, with 92% implied probability.** This reflects current official observations and forecast models showing partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 15–30 km/h, and typical early-September maritime conditions that moderate overnight cooling. Korea Meteorological Administration data and multiple numerical weather models indicate daytime highs near 27–29°C transitioning to nighttime minima around 24°C, with the market-implied odds centering on a precise 23°C low consistent with historical September baselines and recent model runs. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling below forecast or stronger winds preventing the expected drop, though current conditions and model agreement make substantial deviations unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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