Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS positions a daily minimum near 13°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam on September 18, driven by mild westerly to southwesterly winds averaging 10-16 mph, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 10-12°C that support overnight lows of 13-14°C. This aligns with observed conditions at Schiphol, where temperatures have held above seasonal norms amid a warmer-than-average September. Lower probabilities for 12°C or below reflect limited potential for clearer skies or a sharper cold advection, while the market-implied odds aggregate trader assessment of these atmospheric factors and any final model updates before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 18 septembre ?
13°C 97%
10°C 9%
11°C 3%
12°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
9%
11°C
3%
12°C
21%
13°C
87%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C ou plus
<1%
13°C 97%
10°C 9%
11°C 3%
12°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$26 Vol.
1%
8°C
$10 Vol.
1%
9°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$64 Vol.
9%
11°C
$124 Vol.
3%
12°C
$93 Vol.
21%
13°C
$206 Vol.
87%
14°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
17°C ou plus
$62 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS positions a daily minimum near 13°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam on September 18, driven by mild westerly to southwesterly winds averaging 10-16 mph, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 10-12°C that support overnight lows of 13-14°C. This aligns with observed conditions at Schiphol, where temperatures have held above seasonal norms amid a warmer-than-average September. Lower probabilities for 12°C or below reflect limited potential for clearer skies or a sharper cold advection, while the market-implied odds aggregate trader assessment of these atmospheric factors and any final model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,152Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS positions a daily minimum near 13°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam on September 18, driven by mild westerly to southwesterly winds averaging 10-16 mph, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 10-12°C that support overnight lows of 13-14°C. This aligns with observed conditions at Schiphol, where temperatures have held above seasonal norms amid a warmer-than-average September. Lower probabilities for 12°C or below reflect limited potential for clearer skies or a sharper cold advection, while the market-implied odds aggregate trader assessment of these atmospheric factors and any final model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,152Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS positions a daily minimum near 13°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam on September 18, driven by mild westerly to southwesterly winds averaging 10-16 mph, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 10-12°C that support overnight lows of 13-14°C. This aligns with observed conditions at Schiphol, where temperatures have held above seasonal norms amid a warmer-than-average September. Lower probabilities for 12°C or below reflect limited potential for clearer skies or a sharper cold advection, while the market-implied odds aggregate trader assessment of these atmospheric factors and any final model updates before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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