**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 24°C as the highest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 18, 2026.** Multiple forecast models and observational updates, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a daytime maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits diurnal heating. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius range without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Historical September averages for the region (roughly 25°C highs) provide context, but today's stable boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover support the lower end of that range. Only unexpected rapid clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or higher, or below 24°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 18 septembre ?
24°C 99%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
20°C ou moins <1%
$27,400 Vol.
$27,400 Vol.
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 99%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
20°C ou moins <1%
$27,400 Vol.
$27,400 Vol.
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 24°C as the highest temperature recorded in Chengdu on September 18, 2026.** Multiple forecast models and observational updates, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a daytime maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits diurnal heating. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius range without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Historical September averages for the region (roughly 25°C highs) provide context, but today's stable boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover support the lower end of that range. Only unexpected rapid clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or higher, or below 24°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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