Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after Yoaz Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha, hovering near the 3.25% electoral threshold. Multiple surveys from September 9–14 project outcomes from below 2% to 4 seats, reflecting volatility following candidate-list finalization and the split of the prior Zionist Home–Reservists grouping. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to sub-2.75% results because the new slate’s combined appeal on universal conscription, cost-of-living priorities, and center-right positioning has yet to stabilize among reservist and economic-issue voters amid competition from larger lists such as Yashar and Likud. Late shifts in turnout or further polling could still alter the narrow bands around the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<2,75 % 37%
2,75-3,25 % 23%
3,75-4,25 % 17%
4,25 %+ 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<2,75 %
37%
2,75-3,25 %
23%
3,25-3,75 %
15%
3,75-4,25 %
17%
4,25 %+
16%
<2,75 % 37%
2,75-3,25 % 23%
3,75-4,25 % 17%
4,25 %+ 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<2,75 %
$89 Vol.
37%
2,75-3,25 %
$40 Vol.
23%
3,25-3,75 %
$44 Vol.
15%
3,75-4,25 %
$37 Vol.
17%
4,25 %+
$48 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after Yoaz Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha, hovering near the 3.25% electoral threshold. Multiple surveys from September 9–14 project outcomes from below 2% to 4 seats, reflecting volatility following candidate-list finalization and the split of the prior Zionist Home–Reservists grouping. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to sub-2.75% results because the new slate’s combined appeal on universal conscription, cost-of-living priorities, and center-right positioning has yet to stabilize among reservist and economic-issue voters amid competition from larger lists such as Yashar and Likud. Late shifts in turnout or further polling could still alter the narrow bands around the threshold.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$258Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after Yoaz Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha, hovering near the 3.25% electoral threshold. Multiple surveys from September 9–14 project outcomes from below 2% to 4 seats, reflecting volatility following candidate-list finalization and the split of the prior Zionist Home–Reservists grouping. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to sub-2.75% results because the new slate’s combined appeal on universal conscription, cost-of-living priorities, and center-right positioning has yet to stabilize among reservist and economic-issue voters amid competition from larger lists such as Yashar and Likud. Late shifts in turnout or further polling could still alter the narrow bands around the threshold.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$258Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after Yoaz Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha, hovering near the 3.25% electoral threshold. Multiple surveys from September 9–14 project outcomes from below 2% to 4 seats, reflecting volatility following candidate-list finalization and the split of the prior Zionist Home–Reservists grouping. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to sub-2.75% results because the new slate’s combined appeal on universal conscription, cost-of-living priorities, and center-right positioning has yet to stabilize among reservist and economic-issue voters amid competition from larger lists such as Yashar and Likud. Late shifts in turnout or further polling could still alter the narrow bands around the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La Liste arabe unie (Ra'am) obtiendra-t-elle entre 4 et 4,75 % des voix aux élections législatives de 2026 ?
39%
Oui
Le Parti Sioniste Religieux–Zehut obtiendra-t-il 5 à 6% des voix aux élections législatives de 2026 ?
40%
Oui
Yisrael Beiteinu remportera-t-il 6 à 7 % des voix aux élections à la Knesset de 2026 ?
49%
Oui
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