The IAEA has had no access to Iran’s key uranium enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan since the June 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes, preventing verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and centrifuge status. An interim U.S.-Iran understanding in June 2026 referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would occur and modalities were under discussion. Iranian officials countered that access to damaged sites requires a final agreement, sanctions relief, and new inspection protocols for facilities subjected to military action. As of early September 2026, the IAEA’s latest quarterly report again urged urgent access, describing the information gap as a proliferation concern, while Iran has permitted visits only to undamaged sites such as Bushehr. These stalled diplomatic conditions and procedural disputes continue to shape trader assessments of near-term inspection prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'AIEA visite le site nucléaire d'Ispahan, de Fordow ou de Natanz avant le… ?
L'AIEA visite le site nucléaire d'Ispahan, de Fordow ou de Natanz avant le… ?
$374,035 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
31 octobre
4%
31 décembre
13%
$374,035 Vol.
31 octobre
$83,878 Vol.
4%
31 décembre
$36,759 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.The IAEA has had no access to Iran’s key uranium enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan since the June 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes, preventing verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and centrifuge status. An interim U.S.-Iran understanding in June 2026 referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would occur and modalities were under discussion. Iranian officials countered that access to damaged sites requires a final agreement, sanctions relief, and new inspection protocols for facilities subjected to military action. As of early September 2026, the IAEA’s latest quarterly report again urged urgent access, describing the information gap as a proliferation concern, while Iran has permitted visits only to undamaged sites such as Bushehr. These stalled diplomatic conditions and procedural disputes continue to shape trader assessments of near-term inspection prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$374,035Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.The IAEA has had no access to Iran’s key uranium enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan since the June 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes, preventing verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and centrifuge status. An interim U.S.-Iran understanding in June 2026 referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would occur and modalities were under discussion. Iranian officials countered that access to damaged sites requires a final agreement, sanctions relief, and new inspection protocols for facilities subjected to military action. As of early September 2026, the IAEA’s latest quarterly report again urged urgent access, describing the information gap as a proliferation concern, while Iran has permitted visits only to undamaged sites such as Bushehr. These stalled diplomatic conditions and procedural disputes continue to shape trader assessments of near-term inspection prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$374,035Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The IAEA has had no access to Iran’s key uranium enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan since the June 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes, preventing verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and centrifuge status. An interim U.S.-Iran understanding in June 2026 referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would occur and modalities were under discussion. Iranian officials countered that access to damaged sites requires a final agreement, sanctions relief, and new inspection protocols for facilities subjected to military action. As of early September 2026, the IAEA’s latest quarterly report again urged urgent access, describing the information gap as a proliferation concern, while Iran has permitted visits only to undamaged sites such as Bushehr. These stalled diplomatic conditions and procedural disputes continue to shape trader assessments of near-term inspection prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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