Recent polling for Amcha Yisrael, the right-wing party launched by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25, 2026, has fluctuated between four and eight Knesset seats, reflecting uncertainty over its ability to consolidate support ahead of the October 27 election. The party positions itself to join a broad Zionist government, emphasizing security doctrine changes, expanded IDF service, and integration of Haredim and Arab citizens. It draws primarily from Likud, Religious Zionist Party, and Otzma Yehudit voters, with recent surveys showing mixed results on threshold crossing and bloc impacts. This volatility, combined with competition among multiple right-leaning lists and limited historical data on the new entrant, keeps projected seat totals closely contested across the 4-9 range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour4-6 42%
7-9 42%
10+ 39%
<4 35%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<4
35%
4-6
42%
7-9
42%
10+
39%
4-6 42%
7-9 42%
10+ 39%
<4 35%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<4
$0 Vol.
35%
4-6
$0 Vol.
42%
7-9
$0 Vol.
42%
10+
$4 Vol.
39%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Amcha Yisrael, the right-wing party launched by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25, 2026, has fluctuated between four and eight Knesset seats, reflecting uncertainty over its ability to consolidate support ahead of the October 27 election. The party positions itself to join a broad Zionist government, emphasizing security doctrine changes, expanded IDF service, and integration of Haredim and Arab citizens. It draws primarily from Likud, Religious Zionist Party, and Otzma Yehudit voters, with recent surveys showing mixed results on threshold crossing and bloc impacts. This volatility, combined with competition among multiple right-leaning lists and limited historical data on the new entrant, keeps projected seat totals closely contested across the 4-9 range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$4Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Amcha Yisrael, the right-wing party launched by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25, 2026, has fluctuated between four and eight Knesset seats, reflecting uncertainty over its ability to consolidate support ahead of the October 27 election. The party positions itself to join a broad Zionist government, emphasizing security doctrine changes, expanded IDF service, and integration of Haredim and Arab citizens. It draws primarily from Likud, Religious Zionist Party, and Otzma Yehudit voters, with recent surveys showing mixed results on threshold crossing and bloc impacts. This volatility, combined with competition among multiple right-leaning lists and limited historical data on the new entrant, keeps projected seat totals closely contested across the 4-9 range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$4Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Amcha Yisrael, the right-wing party launched by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25, 2026, has fluctuated between four and eight Knesset seats, reflecting uncertainty over its ability to consolidate support ahead of the October 27 election. The party positions itself to join a broad Zionist government, emphasizing security doctrine changes, expanded IDF service, and integration of Haredim and Arab citizens. It draws primarily from Likud, Religious Zionist Party, and Otzma Yehudit voters, with recent surveys showing mixed results on threshold crossing and bloc impacts. This volatility, combined with competition among multiple right-leaning lists and limited historical data on the new entrant, keeps projected seat totals closely contested across the 4-9 range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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