Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show United Torah Judaism (UTJ) projected at 7-8 seats in most surveys, reflecting stable but contained support within the Ashkenazi Haredi sector amid ongoing coalition tensions. The party's seat outlook remains tight due to uncertainty over ultra-Orthodox turnout, driven by stalled conscription legislation that prompted UTJ factions to resign from the government earlier and boycott legislative efforts. Broader shifts in the right-wing bloc, including potential mergers and competition from other religious parties, add variability. Traders see the 9-10 range as the leading outcome because modest gains in Haredi mobilization or favorable alliance positioning could push results higher before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection en Israël : UTJ # de sièges ?
Élection en Israël : UTJ # de sièges ?
7-8 47%
9-10 44%
<7 29%
11+ 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<7
29%
7-8
47%
9-10
44%
11+
29%
7-8 47%
9-10 44%
<7 29%
11+ 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<7
$0 Vol.
29%
7-8
$0 Vol.
47%
9-10
$0 Vol.
44%
11+
$0 Vol.
29%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show United Torah Judaism (UTJ) projected at 7-8 seats in most surveys, reflecting stable but contained support within the Ashkenazi Haredi sector amid ongoing coalition tensions. The party's seat outlook remains tight due to uncertainty over ultra-Orthodox turnout, driven by stalled conscription legislation that prompted UTJ factions to resign from the government earlier and boycott legislative efforts. Broader shifts in the right-wing bloc, including potential mergers and competition from other religious parties, add variability. Traders see the 9-10 range as the leading outcome because modest gains in Haredi mobilization or favorable alliance positioning could push results higher before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show United Torah Judaism (UTJ) projected at 7-8 seats in most surveys, reflecting stable but contained support within the Ashkenazi Haredi sector amid ongoing coalition tensions. The party's seat outlook remains tight due to uncertainty over ultra-Orthodox turnout, driven by stalled conscription legislation that prompted UTJ factions to resign from the government earlier and boycott legislative efforts. Broader shifts in the right-wing bloc, including potential mergers and competition from other religious parties, add variability. Traders see the 9-10 range as the leading outcome because modest gains in Haredi mobilization or favorable alliance positioning could push results higher before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show United Torah Judaism (UTJ) projected at 7-8 seats in most surveys, reflecting stable but contained support within the Ashkenazi Haredi sector amid ongoing coalition tensions. The party's seat outlook remains tight due to uncertainty over ultra-Orthodox turnout, driven by stalled conscription legislation that prompted UTJ factions to resign from the government earlier and boycott legislative efforts. Broader shifts in the right-wing bloc, including potential mergers and competition from other religious parties, add variability. Traders see the 9-10 range as the leading outcome because modest gains in Haredi mobilization or favorable alliance positioning could push results higher before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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