US military operations against Iran began February 28, 2026, with joint strikes alongside Israel targeting nuclear, missile, and leadership sites, yet Congress has not passed a formal declaration of war under Article I. Hostilities have featured naval blockades, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, multiple short-lived ceasefires, and a June memorandum of understanding that collapsed by July, leaving active exchanges without escalation to declared status. Recent August developments include expired diplomatic windows, renewed US threats over shipping lanes, Iranian assertions of control, and ongoing mediation efforts by Qatar and Oman. Trader assessments reflect that formal declarations remain rare in modern US practice, with outcomes tied to congressional votes, presidential War Powers notifications, and any breakthrough or breakdown in current talks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
$7,766,427 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
31 décembre
3%
$7,766,427 Vol.
31 décembre
$793,793 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iran began February 28, 2026, with joint strikes alongside Israel targeting nuclear, missile, and leadership sites, yet Congress has not passed a formal declaration of war under Article I. Hostilities have featured naval blockades, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, multiple short-lived ceasefires, and a June memorandum of understanding that collapsed by July, leaving active exchanges without escalation to declared status. Recent August developments include expired diplomatic windows, renewed US threats over shipping lanes, Iranian assertions of control, and ongoing mediation efforts by Qatar and Oman. Trader assessments reflect that formal declarations remain rare in modern US practice, with outcomes tied to congressional votes, presidential War Powers notifications, and any breakthrough or breakdown in current talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,766,427Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iran began February 28, 2026, with joint strikes alongside Israel targeting nuclear, missile, and leadership sites, yet Congress has not passed a formal declaration of war under Article I. Hostilities have featured naval blockades, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, multiple short-lived ceasefires, and a June memorandum of understanding that collapsed by July, leaving active exchanges without escalation to declared status. Recent August developments include expired diplomatic windows, renewed US threats over shipping lanes, Iranian assertions of control, and ongoing mediation efforts by Qatar and Oman. Trader assessments reflect that formal declarations remain rare in modern US practice, with outcomes tied to congressional votes, presidential War Powers notifications, and any breakthrough or breakdown in current talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,766,427Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations against Iran began February 28, 2026, with joint strikes alongside Israel targeting nuclear, missile, and leadership sites, yet Congress has not passed a formal declaration of war under Article I. Hostilities have featured naval blockades, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, multiple short-lived ceasefires, and a June memorandum of understanding that collapsed by July, leaving active exchanges without escalation to declared status. Recent August developments include expired diplomatic windows, renewed US threats over shipping lanes, Iranian assertions of control, and ongoing mediation efforts by Qatar and Oman. Trader assessments reflect that formal declarations remain rare in modern US practice, with outcomes tied to congressional votes, presidential War Powers notifications, and any breakthrough or breakdown in current talks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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