Current forecast models point to a southerly wind shift on September 7 bringing cooler maritime air, widespread rain, and limited daytime heating to Wellington, positioning 12–13 °C as the most likely maximum. Recent observations from September 5 show highs near 13 °C under northwesterly flow, with September 6 expected to reach 13–14 °C before the change. Ensemble guidance and climatological baselines for early September (typical highs 12–14 °C) align with the market’s concentration on 12–14 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities on extremes reflect model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppressing temperatures below 11 °C or above 15 °C. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wellington le 7 septembre ?
13°C 42%
12°C 23%
14°C 21%
15°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
23%
13°C
42%
14°C
21%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
13°C 42%
12°C 23%
14°C 21%
15°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$955 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$123 Vol.
5%
12°C
$416 Vol.
23%
13°C
$359 Vol.
42%
14°C
$511 Vol.
21%
15°C
$556 Vol.
5%
16°C
$88 Vol.
4%
17°C
$120 Vol.
1%
18°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou plus
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a southerly wind shift on September 7 bringing cooler maritime air, widespread rain, and limited daytime heating to Wellington, positioning 12–13 °C as the most likely maximum. Recent observations from September 5 show highs near 13 °C under northwesterly flow, with September 6 expected to reach 13–14 °C before the change. Ensemble guidance and climatological baselines for early September (typical highs 12–14 °C) align with the market’s concentration on 12–14 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities on extremes reflect model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppressing temperatures below 11 °C or above 15 °C. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,496Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a southerly wind shift on September 7 bringing cooler maritime air, widespread rain, and limited daytime heating to Wellington, positioning 12–13 °C as the most likely maximum. Recent observations from September 5 show highs near 13 °C under northwesterly flow, with September 6 expected to reach 13–14 °C before the change. Ensemble guidance and climatological baselines for early September (typical highs 12–14 °C) align with the market’s concentration on 12–14 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities on extremes reflect model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppressing temperatures below 11 °C or above 15 °C. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,496Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models point to a southerly wind shift on September 7 bringing cooler maritime air, widespread rain, and limited daytime heating to Wellington, positioning 12–13 °C as the most likely maximum. Recent observations from September 5 show highs near 13 °C under northwesterly flow, with September 6 expected to reach 13–14 °C before the change. Ensemble guidance and climatological baselines for early September (typical highs 12–14 °C) align with the market’s concentration on 12–14 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities on extremes reflect model agreement on persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppressing temperatures below 11 °C or above 15 °C. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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