Recent short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation. This narrow consensus, slightly above the long-term August average near 30–31°C, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C as the leading outcome, with modest probability on adjacent thresholds reflecting small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no anomalous heat advection or subsidence to favor extremes, while updated model runs ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 20 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 20 août ?
33°C 62%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
35°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
22%
33°C
62%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 62%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
35°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
29°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$10 Vol.
6%
31°C
$56 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$149 Vol.
62%
34°C
$10 Vol.
16%
35°C
$27 Vol.
7%
36°C
$5 Vol.
6%
37°C
$5 Vol.
4%
38°C
$5 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation. This narrow consensus, slightly above the long-term August average near 30–31°C, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C as the leading outcome, with modest probability on adjacent thresholds reflecting small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no anomalous heat advection or subsidence to favor extremes, while updated model runs ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$277Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation. This narrow consensus, slightly above the long-term August average near 30–31°C, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C as the leading outcome, with modest probability on adjacent thresholds reflecting small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no anomalous heat advection or subsidence to favor extremes, while updated model runs ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$277Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation. This narrow consensus, slightly above the long-term August average near 30–31°C, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C as the leading outcome, with modest probability on adjacent thresholds reflecting small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no anomalous heat advection or subsidence to favor extremes, while updated model runs ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes