Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a high around 35°C in Incheon on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit cooling. This positions 35°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 34°C, while 36°C remains plausible if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 31°C, but current conditions reflect ongoing heatwave patterns with elevated humidity boosting heat indices. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 6 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 6 août ?
35°C 43%
34°C 29%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
29%
35°C
43%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 43%
34°C 29%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
27°C or below
$409 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$119 Vol.
1%
30°C
$117 Vol.
1%
31°C
$97 Vol.
1%
32°C
$99 Vol.
3%
33°C
$83 Vol.
9%
34°C
$188 Vol.
29%
35°C
$623 Vol.
43%
36°C
$205 Vol.
19%
37°C or higher
$180 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a high around 35°C in Incheon on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit cooling. This positions 35°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 34°C, while 36°C remains plausible if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 31°C, but current conditions reflect ongoing heatwave patterns with elevated humidity boosting heat indices. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,222Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a high around 35°C in Incheon on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit cooling. This positions 35°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 34°C, while 36°C remains plausible if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 31°C, but current conditions reflect ongoing heatwave patterns with elevated humidity boosting heat indices. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,222Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a high around 35°C in Incheon on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit cooling. This positions 35°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 34°C, while 36°C remains plausible if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 31°C, but current conditions reflect ongoing heatwave patterns with elevated humidity boosting heat indices. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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