Recent warming in Southeast Brazil after an early-August cold front has positioned São Paulo for a maximum temperature near 25–26 °C on August 15, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 35.5% for 26 °C and 30.5% for 25 °C. Winter climatology, featuring typical highs of 23–25 °C, combines with above-average regional temperatures and variable cloud cover or wind patterns that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Official forecasts show model consensus around these values, with limited rain expected, though any late timing of frontal remnants or urban heat-island effects could tip the outcome between the leading bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 15 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 15 août ?
26°C 36%
25°C 32%
24°C 16%
28°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
32%
26°C
36%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
25°C 32%
24°C 16%
28°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$168 Vol.
4%
23°C
$478 Vol.
4%
24°C
$531 Vol.
16%
25°C
$522 Vol.
32%
26°C
$1,556 Vol.
36%
27°C
$498 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$35 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$118 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warming in Southeast Brazil after an early-August cold front has positioned São Paulo for a maximum temperature near 25–26 °C on August 15, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 35.5% for 26 °C and 30.5% for 25 °C. Winter climatology, featuring typical highs of 23–25 °C, combines with above-average regional temperatures and variable cloud cover or wind patterns that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Official forecasts show model consensus around these values, with limited rain expected, though any late timing of frontal remnants or urban heat-island effects could tip the outcome between the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$3,989Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warming in Southeast Brazil after an early-August cold front has positioned São Paulo for a maximum temperature near 25–26 °C on August 15, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 35.5% for 26 °C and 30.5% for 25 °C. Winter climatology, featuring typical highs of 23–25 °C, combines with above-average regional temperatures and variable cloud cover or wind patterns that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Official forecasts show model consensus around these values, with limited rain expected, though any late timing of frontal remnants or urban heat-island effects could tip the outcome between the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,989Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent warming in Southeast Brazil after an early-August cold front has positioned São Paulo for a maximum temperature near 25–26 °C on August 15, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 35.5% for 26 °C and 30.5% for 25 °C. Winter climatology, featuring typical highs of 23–25 °C, combines with above-average regional temperatures and variable cloud cover or wind patterns that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Official forecasts show model consensus around these values, with limited rain expected, though any late timing of frontal remnants or urban heat-island effects could tip the outcome between the leading bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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