Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 25°C in São Paulo on August 14 under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, limited moisture, and moderate daytime heating beneath mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological August averages of 23–25°C while accounting for slight above-normal warmth observed earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates model agreement on peak values alongside minor uncertainties from urban heat island effects and precise observational timing at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor probabilities around the 24–26°C range ahead of final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 14 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 14 août ?
25°C 43%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 9.3%
NOUVEAU
$14,966 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,966 Vol.
14 août 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
24%
25°C
43%
26°C
18%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 43%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 9.3%
NOUVEAU
$14,966 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,966 Vol.
14 août 2026
21°C or below
$359 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$409 Vol.
1%
23°C
$672 Vol.
9%
24°C
$5,415 Vol.
24%
25°C
$1,239 Vol.
43%
26°C
$1,932 Vol.
18%
27°C
$1,981 Vol.
5%
28°C
$993 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,270 Vol.
1%
30°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$373 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 25°C in São Paulo on August 14 under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, limited moisture, and moderate daytime heating beneath mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological August averages of 23–25°C while accounting for slight above-normal warmth observed earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates model agreement on peak values alongside minor uncertainties from urban heat island effects and precise observational timing at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor probabilities around the 24–26°C range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$14,966Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 25°C in São Paulo on August 14 under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, limited moisture, and moderate daytime heating beneath mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological August averages of 23–25°C while accounting for slight above-normal warmth observed earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates model agreement on peak values alongside minor uncertainties from urban heat island effects and precise observational timing at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor probabilities around the 24–26°C range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,966Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 25°C in São Paulo on August 14 under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, limited moisture, and moderate daytime heating beneath mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological August averages of 23–25°C while accounting for slight above-normal warmth observed earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates model agreement on peak values alongside minor uncertainties from urban heat island effects and precise observational timing at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor probabilities around the 24–26°C range ahead of final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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