Recent model consensus from GFS and similar runs points to a frontal passage bringing cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating in Paris on September 8, favoring a peak near 23–24 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes amid broader uncertainty. Key variables include exact rain timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees, and the strength of the incoming low-pressure system that may enhance mixing or delay clearing. Ensemble spreads remain notable for a two-day horizon, while the long-term September 8 average high of 22.6 °C provides climatological context. Traders appear to price in this transitional pattern rather than any lingering warmth from the prior weekend’s 30 °C readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 septembre ?
24°C 44%
25°C 21%
23°C 21%
22°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
21%
24°C
44%
25°C
21%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 21%
23°C 21%
22°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$136 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$449 Vol.
2%
21°C
$761 Vol.
4%
22°C
$810 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,127 Vol.
21%
24°C
$1,451 Vol.
44%
25°C
$902 Vol.
21%
26°C
$541 Vol.
5%
27°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou plus
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and similar runs points to a frontal passage bringing cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating in Paris on September 8, favoring a peak near 23–24 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes amid broader uncertainty. Key variables include exact rain timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees, and the strength of the incoming low-pressure system that may enhance mixing or delay clearing. Ensemble spreads remain notable for a two-day horizon, while the long-term September 8 average high of 22.6 °C provides climatological context. Traders appear to price in this transitional pattern rather than any lingering warmth from the prior weekend’s 30 °C readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,458Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and similar runs points to a frontal passage bringing cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating in Paris on September 8, favoring a peak near 23–24 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes amid broader uncertainty. Key variables include exact rain timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees, and the strength of the incoming low-pressure system that may enhance mixing or delay clearing. Ensemble spreads remain notable for a two-day horizon, while the long-term September 8 average high of 22.6 °C provides climatological context. Traders appear to price in this transitional pattern rather than any lingering warmth from the prior weekend’s 30 °C readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,458Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and similar runs points to a frontal passage bringing cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating in Paris on September 8, favoring a peak near 23–24 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes amid broader uncertainty. Key variables include exact rain timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees, and the strength of the incoming low-pressure system that may enhance mixing or delay clearing. Ensemble spreads remain notable for a two-day horizon, while the long-term September 8 average high of 22.6 °C provides climatological context. Traders appear to price in this transitional pattern rather than any lingering warmth from the prior weekend’s 30 °C readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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