Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS consensus show Munich's September 21 high settling near 17–18°C under northwest flow, increased cloud cover, and a post-weekend cooling trend after highs reached 22–24°C on the 19th–20th. This positions 18°C as the leading market outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 17°C close behind at 34.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability in southern Germany where daily maxima can shift 2–3°C with minor changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range, limiting support for 19°C or warmer scenarios while historical September averages near 18°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 21 septembre ?
18°C 50%
17°C 35%
20°C 18%
19°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
8%
17°C
35%
18°C
50%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
18°C 50%
17°C 35%
20°C 18%
19°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$56 Vol.
35%
18°C
$95 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$6 Vol.
1%
24°C ou plus
$26 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS consensus show Munich's September 21 high settling near 17–18°C under northwest flow, increased cloud cover, and a post-weekend cooling trend after highs reached 22–24°C on the 19th–20th. This positions 18°C as the leading market outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 17°C close behind at 34.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability in southern Germany where daily maxima can shift 2–3°C with minor changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range, limiting support for 19°C or warmer scenarios while historical September averages near 18°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$176Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS consensus show Munich's September 21 high settling near 17–18°C under northwest flow, increased cloud cover, and a post-weekend cooling trend after highs reached 22–24°C on the 19th–20th. This positions 18°C as the leading market outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 17°C close behind at 34.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability in southern Germany where daily maxima can shift 2–3°C with minor changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range, limiting support for 19°C or warmer scenarios while historical September averages near 18°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$176Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS consensus show Munich's September 21 high settling near 17–18°C under northwest flow, increased cloud cover, and a post-weekend cooling trend after highs reached 22–24°C on the 19th–20th. This positions 18°C as the leading market outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 17°C close behind at 34.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability in southern Germany where daily maxima can shift 2–3°C with minor changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range, limiting support for 19°C or warmer scenarios while historical September averages near 18°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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