Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Manila on September 13, reflecting model consensus from sources like the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration and global ensembles showing typical southwest monsoon conditions with daytime maxima near 31–32°C amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, with convective activity and sea-breeze effects capping peaks. A shift to clearer skies or reduced rainfall could allow brief excursions to 33°C, while heavier afternoon downpours or stronger winds might hold the maximum at or below 31°C, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make those outcomes less probable ahead of the daily peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Manille le 13 septembre ?
32°C 99%
33°C <1%
34°C ou plus <1%
24°C ou moins <1%
$21,540 Vol.
$21,540 Vol.
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 99%
33°C <1%
34°C ou plus <1%
24°C ou moins <1%
$21,540 Vol.
$21,540 Vol.
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Manila on September 13, reflecting model consensus from sources like the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration and global ensembles showing typical southwest monsoon conditions with daytime maxima near 31–32°C amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, with convective activity and sea-breeze effects capping peaks. A shift to clearer skies or reduced rainfall could allow brief excursions to 33°C, while heavier afternoon downpours or stronger winds might hold the maximum at or below 31°C, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make those outcomes less probable ahead of the daily peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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