**Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 36°C on September 21 under mainly clear skies with light winds, consistent with post-monsoon warming trends as the southwest monsoon withdraws.** Recent model runs and neighboring district outlooks show similar values building from 34–35°C on September 19–20, driven by increasing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Market-implied odds clustering around 34–35°C reflect trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty, including possible scattered afternoon convection or slight increases in boundary-layer moisture that can cap peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical late-September maxima in the region average near 32–33°C but exhibit day-to-day variability tied to steering patterns and humidity. Upcoming IMD updates and short-range model consensus will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the official 36°C guidance or remain anchored near observed recent highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 21 septembre ?
34°C 54%
35°C 22%
36°C 21%
37°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
29°C ou moins
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
18%
34°C
48%
35°C
22%
36°C
21%
37°C
21%
38°C
13%
39°C ou plus
2%
34°C 54%
35°C 22%
36°C 21%
37°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
29°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
18%
33°C
$0 Vol.
18%
34°C
$4 Vol.
48%
35°C
$3 Vol.
22%
36°C
$0 Vol.
21%
37°C
$0 Vol.
21%
38°C
$0 Vol.
13%
39°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 36°C on September 21 under mainly clear skies with light winds, consistent with post-monsoon warming trends as the southwest monsoon withdraws.** Recent model runs and neighboring district outlooks show similar values building from 34–35°C on September 19–20, driven by increasing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Market-implied odds clustering around 34–35°C reflect trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty, including possible scattered afternoon convection or slight increases in boundary-layer moisture that can cap peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical late-September maxima in the region average near 32–33°C but exhibit day-to-day variability tied to steering patterns and humidity. Upcoming IMD updates and short-range model consensus will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the official 36°C guidance or remain anchored near observed recent highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 36°C on September 21 under mainly clear skies with light winds, consistent with post-monsoon warming trends as the southwest monsoon withdraws.** Recent model runs and neighboring district outlooks show similar values building from 34–35°C on September 19–20, driven by increasing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Market-implied odds clustering around 34–35°C reflect trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty, including possible scattered afternoon convection or slight increases in boundary-layer moisture that can cap peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical late-September maxima in the region average near 32–33°C but exhibit day-to-day variability tied to steering patterns and humidity. Upcoming IMD updates and short-range model consensus will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the official 36°C guidance or remain anchored near observed recent highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 36°C on September 21 under mainly clear skies with light winds, consistent with post-monsoon warming trends as the southwest monsoon withdraws.** Recent model runs and neighboring district outlooks show similar values building from 34–35°C on September 19–20, driven by increasing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Market-implied odds clustering around 34–35°C reflect trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty, including possible scattered afternoon convection or slight increases in boundary-layer moisture that can cap peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical late-September maxima in the region average near 32–33°C but exhibit day-to-day variability tied to steering patterns and humidity. Upcoming IMD updates and short-range model consensus will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the official 36°C guidance or remain anchored near observed recent highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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