Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and local agencies project a September 6 maximum near 30–31°C for Karachi, with ensemble spreads creating tight uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C. High humidity near 70–80%, persistent westerly winds, and variable cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime heating through sea-breeze circulation and reduced insolation, preventing stronger warming. Recent days have seen highs of 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s close distribution among 31°C (33%), 32°C (38.5%), and 33°C (18.5%) outcomes as traders weigh minor model differences in timing of clouds and wind strength. Updated runs and any shifts in marine layer depth will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Karachi le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Karachi le 6 septembre ?
32°C 42%
31°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
32%
32°C
42%
33°C
19%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$182 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$167 Vol.
1%
29°C
$179 Vol.
3%
30°C
$454 Vol.
5%
31°C
$2,050 Vol.
32%
32°C
$1,052 Vol.
42%
33°C
$990 Vol.
19%
34°C
$178 Vol.
4%
35°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and local agencies project a September 6 maximum near 30–31°C for Karachi, with ensemble spreads creating tight uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C. High humidity near 70–80%, persistent westerly winds, and variable cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime heating through sea-breeze circulation and reduced insolation, preventing stronger warming. Recent days have seen highs of 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s close distribution among 31°C (33%), 32°C (38.5%), and 33°C (18.5%) outcomes as traders weigh minor model differences in timing of clouds and wind strength. Updated runs and any shifts in marine layer depth will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$5,758Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and local agencies project a September 6 maximum near 30–31°C for Karachi, with ensemble spreads creating tight uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C. High humidity near 70–80%, persistent westerly winds, and variable cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime heating through sea-breeze circulation and reduced insolation, preventing stronger warming. Recent days have seen highs of 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s close distribution among 31°C (33%), 32°C (38.5%), and 33°C (18.5%) outcomes as traders weigh minor model differences in timing of clouds and wind strength. Updated runs and any shifts in marine layer depth will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,758Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and local agencies project a September 6 maximum near 30–31°C for Karachi, with ensemble spreads creating tight uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C. High humidity near 70–80%, persistent westerly winds, and variable cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime heating through sea-breeze circulation and reduced insolation, preventing stronger warming. Recent days have seen highs of 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s close distribution among 31°C (33%), 32°C (38.5%), and 33°C (18.5%) outcomes as traders weigh minor model differences in timing of clouds and wind strength. Updated runs and any shifts in marine layer depth will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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