Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate highs of 31–33°C on August 20 amid typical summer monsoon flow, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Sea surface temperatures near 29°C and elevated atmospheric moisture support convective activity that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C compared to clearer days. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds around 31–32°C reflects model uncertainty over exact cloud cover timing and rainfall intensity within the 24–48 hour window. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and local urban heat effects introduce variability that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 20 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 20 août ?
31°C 31%
32°C 30%
30°C 24%
33°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
30%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
32°C 30%
30°C 24%
33°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
27°C or below
$156 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$207 Vol.
1%
29°C
$43 Vol.
10%
30°C
$37 Vol.
16%
31°C
$88 Vol.
31%
32°C
$34 Vol.
30%
33°C
$74 Vol.
17%
34°C
$45 Vol.
5%
35°C
$24 Vol.
2%
36°C
$5 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate highs of 31–33°C on August 20 amid typical summer monsoon flow, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Sea surface temperatures near 29°C and elevated atmospheric moisture support convective activity that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C compared to clearer days. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds around 31–32°C reflects model uncertainty over exact cloud cover timing and rainfall intensity within the 24–48 hour window. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and local urban heat effects introduce variability that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$719Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate highs of 31–33°C on August 20 amid typical summer monsoon flow, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Sea surface temperatures near 29°C and elevated atmospheric moisture support convective activity that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C compared to clearer days. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds around 31–32°C reflects model uncertainty over exact cloud cover timing and rainfall intensity within the 24–48 hour window. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and local urban heat effects introduce variability that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$719Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate highs of 31–33°C on August 20 amid typical summer monsoon flow, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Sea surface temperatures near 29°C and elevated atmospheric moisture support convective activity that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C compared to clearer days. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds around 31–32°C reflects model uncertainty over exact cloud cover timing and rainfall intensity within the 24–48 hour window. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and local urban heat effects introduce variability that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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