**Subtropical summer conditions in Guangzhou drive the tight market between 36°C and 37°C.** Official and model guidance for 6 August 2026 currently clusters around 34–36°C, with some extended-range outlooks reaching 37°C under clearer skies and stronger daytime heating. Recent July typhoon activity (including Maysak) has left lingering moisture and variable steering flows, which can either enhance cloud cover—capping temperatures near 35°C—or allow stronger insolation that pushes readings higher. Key differentiating factors include forecast discrepancies in cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C in the city center relative to airport observations. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 33°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during periods of reduced rainfall. With resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations, traders are pricing in model spread and the potential for a brief clear spell or slightly stronger southerly flow. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will be the next major catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 6 août ?
37°C 36%
36°C 33%
35°C 13%
38°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
29°C ou moins
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
13%
36°C
33%
37°C
36%
38°C
11%
39°C ou plus
6%
37°C 36%
36°C 33%
35°C 13%
38°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
29°C ou moins
$127 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$87 Vol.
1%
33°C
$181 Vol.
2%
34°C
$123 Vol.
5%
35°C
$136 Vol.
13%
36°C
$669 Vol.
33%
37°C
$183 Vol.
36%
38°C
$131 Vol.
11%
39°C ou plus
$113 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical summer conditions in Guangzhou drive the tight market between 36°C and 37°C.** Official and model guidance for 6 August 2026 currently clusters around 34–36°C, with some extended-range outlooks reaching 37°C under clearer skies and stronger daytime heating. Recent July typhoon activity (including Maysak) has left lingering moisture and variable steering flows, which can either enhance cloud cover—capping temperatures near 35°C—or allow stronger insolation that pushes readings higher.
Key differentiating factors include forecast discrepancies in cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C in the city center relative to airport observations. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 33°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during periods of reduced rainfall. With resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations, traders are pricing in model spread and the potential for a brief clear spell or slightly stronger southerly flow. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will be the next major catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,874Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical summer conditions in Guangzhou drive the tight market between 36°C and 37°C.** Official and model guidance for 6 August 2026 currently clusters around 34–36°C, with some extended-range outlooks reaching 37°C under clearer skies and stronger daytime heating. Recent July typhoon activity (including Maysak) has left lingering moisture and variable steering flows, which can either enhance cloud cover—capping temperatures near 35°C—or allow stronger insolation that pushes readings higher.
Key differentiating factors include forecast discrepancies in cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C in the city center relative to airport observations. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 33°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during periods of reduced rainfall. With resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations, traders are pricing in model spread and the potential for a brief clear spell or slightly stronger southerly flow. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will be the next major catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,874Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Subtropical summer conditions in Guangzhou drive the tight market between 36°C and 37°C.** Official and model guidance for 6 August 2026 currently clusters around 34–36°C, with some extended-range outlooks reaching 37°C under clearer skies and stronger daytime heating. Recent July typhoon activity (including Maysak) has left lingering moisture and variable steering flows, which can either enhance cloud cover—capping temperatures near 35°C—or allow stronger insolation that pushes readings higher. Key differentiating factors include forecast discrepancies in cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C in the city center relative to airport observations. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 33°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during periods of reduced rainfall. With resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations, traders are pricing in model spread and the potential for a brief clear spell or slightly stronger southerly flow. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will be the next major catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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