Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning with the market's strong 73.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, including reduced solar insolation and prevailing westerly flows, typically produce daily highs of 16–18°C in early August, consistent with historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional records. Recent model runs show limited variability, with most guidance clustering near this threshold amid stable atmospheric patterns and no significant warm-air advection expected. Traders are weighting these verified forecast consensus and observational baselines more heavily than outlier scenarios, as any last-minute shifts in steering winds or cloud cover could still nudge the actual high by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 4 août ?
16°C 73%
17°C 23%
15°C 6%
18°C 6%
$24,402 Vol.
$24,402 Vol.
4 août 2026
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
73%
17°C
16%
18°C
6%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 73%
17°C 23%
15°C 6%
18°C 6%
$24,402 Vol.
$24,402 Vol.
4 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$575 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,517 Vol.
4%
15°C
$1,935 Vol.
6%
16°C
$3,483 Vol.
73%
17°C
$8,029 Vol.
16%
18°C
$1,786 Vol.
6%
19°C
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$547 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,317 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou plus
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning with the market's strong 73.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, including reduced solar insolation and prevailing westerly flows, typically produce daily highs of 16–18°C in early August, consistent with historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional records. Recent model runs show limited variability, with most guidance clustering near this threshold amid stable atmospheric patterns and no significant warm-air advection expected. Traders are weighting these verified forecast consensus and observational baselines more heavily than outlier scenarios, as any last-minute shifts in steering winds or cloud cover could still nudge the actual high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$24,402Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning with the market's strong 73.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, including reduced solar insolation and prevailing westerly flows, typically produce daily highs of 16–18°C in early August, consistent with historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional records. Recent model runs show limited variability, with most guidance clustering near this threshold amid stable atmospheric patterns and no significant warm-air advection expected. Traders are weighting these verified forecast consensus and observational baselines more heavily than outlier scenarios, as any last-minute shifts in steering winds or cloud cover could still nudge the actual high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,402Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning with the market's strong 73.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, including reduced solar insolation and prevailing westerly flows, typically produce daily highs of 16–18°C in early August, consistent with historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional records. Recent model runs show limited variability, with most guidance clustering near this threshold amid stable atmospheric patterns and no significant warm-air advection expected. Traders are weighting these verified forecast consensus and observational baselines more heavily than outlier scenarios, as any last-minute shifts in steering winds or cloud cover could still nudge the actual high by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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