Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate Beijing will reach a daily maximum of 30–32°C on September 6 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with late-summer conditions where daytime heating persists but begins transitioning toward autumnal moderation, consistent with historical averages near 28°C yet elevated by recent warm advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 32°C and 28% for 31°C, centers on these outcomes as model runs show limited spread around that range, with lower odds assigned to outliers like 33°C or below 30°C absent any abrupt frontal passage or cloud cover increase. Updated guidance through the evening of September 5 reinforces this narrow band ahead of overnight cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 6 septembre ?
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
33%
32°C
41%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$235 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$392 Vol.
2%
29°C
$252 Vol.
5%
30°C
$698 Vol.
11%
31°C
$1,529 Vol.
33%
32°C
$683 Vol.
41%
33°C
$293 Vol.
9%
34°C
$390 Vol.
2%
35°C
$52 Vol.
1%
36°C ou plus
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate Beijing will reach a daily maximum of 30–32°C on September 6 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with late-summer conditions where daytime heating persists but begins transitioning toward autumnal moderation, consistent with historical averages near 28°C yet elevated by recent warm advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 32°C and 28% for 31°C, centers on these outcomes as model runs show limited spread around that range, with lower odds assigned to outliers like 33°C or below 30°C absent any abrupt frontal passage or cloud cover increase. Updated guidance through the evening of September 5 reinforces this narrow band ahead of overnight cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,986Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate Beijing will reach a daily maximum of 30–32°C on September 6 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with late-summer conditions where daytime heating persists but begins transitioning toward autumnal moderation, consistent with historical averages near 28°C yet elevated by recent warm advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 32°C and 28% for 31°C, centers on these outcomes as model runs show limited spread around that range, with lower odds assigned to outliers like 33°C or below 30°C absent any abrupt frontal passage or cloud cover increase. Updated guidance through the evening of September 5 reinforces this narrow band ahead of overnight cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,986Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate Beijing will reach a daily maximum of 30–32°C on September 6 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with late-summer conditions where daytime heating persists but begins transitioning toward autumnal moderation, consistent with historical averages near 28°C yet elevated by recent warm advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for 32°C and 28% for 31°C, centers on these outcomes as model runs show limited spread around that range, with lower odds assigned to outliers like 33°C or below 30°C absent any abrupt frontal passage or cloud cover increase. Updated guidance through the evening of September 5 reinforces this narrow band ahead of overnight cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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