**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 29 août ?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F ou moins <1%
90-91 °F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$21,501 Vol.
$21,501 Vol.
29 août 2026
89°F ou moins
Non
90-91 °F
Non
92-93°F
Non
94-95 °F
Non
96-97°F
Non
98-99°F
Oui
100-101 °F
Non
102–103 °F
Non
104-105°F
Non
106-107°F
Non
108°F ou plus
Non
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F ou moins <1%
90-91 °F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$21,501 Vol.
$21,501 Vol.
29 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$2,299 Vol.
Non
90-91 °F
$574 Vol.
Non
92-93°F
$395 Vol.
Non
94-95 °F
$1,246 Vol.
Non
96-97°F
$3,668 Vol.
Non
98-99°F
$6,622 Vol.
Oui
100-101 °F
$4,426 Vol.
Non
102–103 °F
$1,572 Vol.
Non
104-105°F
$312 Vol.
Non
106-107°F
$120 Vol.
Non
108°F ou plus
$267 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,501Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,501Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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