Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service project a sunny day with light southerly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 98–99°F for Austin on August 30—slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 94.8°F but consistent with late-summer patterns under high pressure. Consensus across multiple forecasts centers on upper 90s to low 100s, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (65.5% implied probability) versus 100–101°F (31%), as traders incorporate the latest runs showing limited intensification potential from typical August heating and humidity. Afternoon heat indices may exceed 100°F, but resolution hinges on the official highest observed temperature.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 30 août ?
98-99 °F 64%
100-101 °F 31%
96-97 °F 7%
94-95°F 2%
$12,580 Vol.
$12,580 Vol.
30 août 2026
89°F ou moins
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97 °F
7%
98-99 °F
64%
100-101 °F
31%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou plus
<1%
98-99 °F 64%
100-101 °F 31%
96-97 °F 7%
94-95°F 2%
$12,580 Vol.
$12,580 Vol.
30 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$250 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$145 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$359 Vol.
2%
96-97 °F
$926 Vol.
7%
98-99 °F
$7,411 Vol.
64%
100-101 °F
$2,225 Vol.
31%
102-103°F
$529 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$245 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
108°F ou plus
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service project a sunny day with light southerly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 98–99°F for Austin on August 30—slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 94.8°F but consistent with late-summer patterns under high pressure. Consensus across multiple forecasts centers on upper 90s to low 100s, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (65.5% implied probability) versus 100–101°F (31%), as traders incorporate the latest runs showing limited intensification potential from typical August heating and humidity. Afternoon heat indices may exceed 100°F, but resolution hinges on the official highest observed temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,580Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service project a sunny day with light southerly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 98–99°F for Austin on August 30—slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 94.8°F but consistent with late-summer patterns under high pressure. Consensus across multiple forecasts centers on upper 90s to low 100s, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (65.5% implied probability) versus 100–101°F (31%), as traders incorporate the latest runs showing limited intensification potential from typical August heating and humidity. Afternoon heat indices may exceed 100°F, but resolution hinges on the official highest observed temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,580Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service project a sunny day with light southerly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 98–99°F for Austin on August 30—slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 94.8°F but consistent with late-summer patterns under high pressure. Consensus across multiple forecasts centers on upper 90s to low 100s, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (65.5% implied probability) versus 100–101°F (31%), as traders incorporate the latest runs showing limited intensification potential from typical August heating and humidity. Afternoon heat indices may exceed 100°F, but resolution hinges on the official highest observed temperature.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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