**Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position a peak temperature of 31–32 °C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 6.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and low humidity are expected to allow strong daytime heating, with afternoon readings climbing from morning lows near 15 °C. Multiple deterministic runs and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance cluster around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (56 %) and 31 °C (34 %). Model spread remains narrow, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could still nudge the official maximum by 1 °C either way. Updated short-range guidance and the final hourly observations will determine the precise recorded high before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 6 septembre ?
32°C 55%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$10,373 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,373 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
55%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$10,373 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,373 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$164 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$283 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$680 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,596 Vol.
3%
31°C
$2,296 Vol.
34%
32°C
$3,105 Vol.
55%
33°C
$1,526 Vol.
11%
34°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position a peak temperature of 31–32 °C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 6.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and low humidity are expected to allow strong daytime heating, with afternoon readings climbing from morning lows near 15 °C. Multiple deterministic runs and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance cluster around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (56 %) and 31 °C (34 %). Model spread remains narrow, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could still nudge the official maximum by 1 °C either way. Updated short-range guidance and the final hourly observations will determine the precise recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,373Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position a peak temperature of 31–32 °C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 6.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and low humidity are expected to allow strong daytime heating, with afternoon readings climbing from morning lows near 15 °C. Multiple deterministic runs and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance cluster around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (56 %) and 31 °C (34 %). Model spread remains narrow, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could still nudge the official maximum by 1 °C either way. Updated short-range guidance and the final hourly observations will determine the precise recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,373Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position a peak temperature of 31–32 °C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 6.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and low humidity are expected to allow strong daytime heating, with afternoon readings climbing from morning lows near 15 °C. Multiple deterministic runs and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance cluster around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (56 %) and 31 °C (34 %). Model spread remains narrow, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could still nudge the official maximum by 1 °C either way. Updated short-range guidance and the final hourly observations will determine the precise recorded high before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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