Forecast models from sources including the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Late-August continental conditions feature strong solar heating over the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 35°C on August 22 and 30–32°C in the preceding days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though exact station maxima can vary slightly with local terrain and measurement timing. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 26 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 26 août ?
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
53%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
28°C or below
$179 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$163 Vol.
1%
31°C
$362 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,041 Vol.
32%
33°C
$823 Vol.
53%
34°C
$463 Vol.
11%
35°C
$263 Vol.
2%
36°C
$10 Vol.
1%
37°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Late-August continental conditions feature strong solar heating over the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 35°C on August 22 and 30–32°C in the preceding days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though exact station maxima can vary slightly with local terrain and measurement timing. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,862Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Late-August continental conditions feature strong solar heating over the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 35°C on August 22 and 30–32°C in the preceding days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though exact station maxima can vary slightly with local terrain and measurement timing. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,862Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Late-August continental conditions feature strong solar heating over the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 35°C on August 22 and 30–32°C in the preceding days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though exact station maxima can vary slightly with local terrain and measurement timing. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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