The Hamilton East—Stoney Creek by-election on September 3 features a fragmented field of six candidates, with trader consensus reflecting a tight three-way contest among Liberal Heino Doessing, Progressive Conservative Jeff Beattie, and NDP Monique Taylor. Recent candidate nominations, finalized August 20, and local disputes over farmland protection and urban boundary expansion have kept probabilities closely matched, as these issues cut across party lines in a riding vacated by retiring PC MPP Neil Lumsden. Advance voting begins August 26, and polling shows the NDP with a modest edge but Liberals and PCs competitive. Further separation could emerge from final-week campaigning, turnout patterns among local voters, or shifts in messaging on development policy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection partielle provinciale de Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
Heino Doessing 45%
Jeff Beattie 24%
Monique Taylor 20%
Heather Curnew <1%
$16,178 Vol.
$16,178 Vol.

Heino Doessing
45%

Jeff Beattie
24%

Monique Taylor
20%

Heather Curnew
<1%

Wieslawa Derlatka
<1%

Pascale Marchand
<1%
Heino Doessing 45%
Jeff Beattie 24%
Monique Taylor 20%
Heather Curnew <1%
$16,178 Vol.
$16,178 Vol.

Heino Doessing
45%

Jeff Beattie
24%

Monique Taylor
20%

Heather Curnew
<1%

Wieslawa Derlatka
<1%

Pascale Marchand
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hamilton East—Stoney Creek by-election on September 3 features a fragmented field of six candidates, with trader consensus reflecting a tight three-way contest among Liberal Heino Doessing, Progressive Conservative Jeff Beattie, and NDP Monique Taylor. Recent candidate nominations, finalized August 20, and local disputes over farmland protection and urban boundary expansion have kept probabilities closely matched, as these issues cut across party lines in a riding vacated by retiring PC MPP Neil Lumsden. Advance voting begins August 26, and polling shows the NDP with a modest edge but Liberals and PCs competitive. Further separation could emerge from final-week campaigning, turnout patterns among local voters, or shifts in messaging on development policy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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