**Proposition 5, a legislative constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, would eliminate the successor question from state recall elections and fill resulting vacancies through subsequent special elections or appointments under existing constitutional rules.** Trader consensus slightly favoring rejection at 58% for “No” reflects the measure’s mixed early positioning, including support from Secretary of State Shirley Weber and the League of Women Voters alongside opposition from groups such as the Election Integrity Project California that argue it reduces direct voter input on replacements. Recent local recall activity in California has not produced major statewide momentum or polling shifts for the reform, leaving the outcome closely contested with standard ballot-measure dynamics and limited high-profile campaigning to date potentially sustaining the narrow edge against passage.