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icon for Primaire du Sénat démocrate du New Hampshire : Marge de victoire
Politique·Primaires

Primaire du Sénat démocrate du New Hampshire : Marge de victoire

icon for Primaire du Sénat démocrate du New Hampshire : Marge de victoire
Politique·Primaires

Primaire du Sénat démocrate du New Hampshire : Marge de victoire

Pappas 30–35 % 30%

Pappas 10–15 % 21%

Pappas 15–20 % 20%

Pappas 20–25 % 19%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Pappas 30–35 % 30%

Pappas 10–15 % 21%

Pappas 15–20 % 20%

Pappas 20–25 % 19%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Pappas 40 %+

Pappas 40 %+

$1,261 Vol.

5%

icon for Pappas 35–40 %

Pappas 35–40 %

$78 Vol.

13%

icon for Pappas 30–35 %

Pappas 30–35 %

$34 Vol.

30%

icon for Pappas 25–30 %

Pappas 25–30 %

$163 Vol.

12%

icon for Pappas 20–25 %

Pappas 20–25 %

$285 Vol.

19%

icon for Pappas 15–20 %

Pappas 15–20 %

$253 Vol.

20%

icon for Pappas 10–15 %

Pappas 10–15 %

$300 Vol.

21%

icon for Pappas 5–10 %

Pappas 5–10 %

$128 Vol.

12%

icon for Pappas 0–5 %

Pappas 0–5 %

$285 Vol.

14%

icon for Manzur 0–5 %

Manzur 0–5 %

$195 Vol.

2%

icon for Manzur 5 %+

Manzur 5 %+

$165 Vol.

<1%

The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8 features a tightening contest between U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas and challenger Karishma Manzur, with Pappas holding leads of 13 to 42 points in recent surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College. Manzur has gained ground through grassroots organizing and appeals to progressive voters on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, while Pappas maintains advantages in fundraising, establishment endorsements, and support among moderates and older voters. A September 4 debate highlighted ideological differences, and the narrow poll gap plus multiple minor candidates contribute to trader emphasis on uncertain or non-Pappas outcomes alongside moderate victory margins for the frontrunner.

The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Volume
$3,148
Date de fin
8 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8 features a tightening contest between U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas and challenger Karishma Manzur, with Pappas holding leads of 13 to 42 points in recent surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College. Manzur has gained ground through grassroots organizing and appeals to progressive voters on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, while Pappas maintains advantages in fundraising, establishment endorsements, and support among moderates and older voters. A September 4 debate highlighted ideological differences, and the narrow poll gap plus multiple minor candidates contribute to trader emphasis on uncertain or non-Pappas outcomes alongside moderate victory margins for the frontrunner.

The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Volume
$3,148
Date de fin
8 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Le candidat du Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter l'élection sénatoriale du New Hampshire en 2026 avec une avance de 15 % à 18 % ?

Le candidat du Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter l'élection sénatoriale du New Hampshire en 2026 avec une avance de 15 % à 18 % ?

19%
Oui
icon for Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur du New Hampshire de 2026 avec une avance de 15% à 18% ?

Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur du New Hampshire de 2026 avec une avance de 15% à 18% ?

18%
Oui
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?

23%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Primaire du Sénat démocrate du New Hampshire : Marge de victoire » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Pappas 25–30 % » à 24%, suivi de « Pappas 10–15 % » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 24¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Primaire du Sénat démocrate du New Hampshire : Marge de victoire » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Primaire du Sénat démocrate du New Hampshire : Marge de victoire », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Primaire du Sénat démocrate du New Hampshire : Marge de victoire » est « Pappas 25–30 % » à 24%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Pappas 10–15 % » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Primaire du Sénat démocrate du New Hampshire : Marge de victoire » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.