Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate battlegrounds as an open Democratic seat in a state with an even partisan lean, where Gary Peters is retiring and Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Abdul El-Sayed following a competitive August primary. Recent polling averages show the matchup within a few points, aligning with toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters and reflecting the state's history of narrow presidential and Senate margins. In Alaska, Mary Peltola's primary performance and polling against Dan Sullivan sustain interest in that Republican-held contest. Maine's race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson remains close due to the state's recent Democratic tilt and ranked-choice voting. Shifts in Texas and Ohio ratings have also kept those seats in play, though Michigan's structural openness and battleground dynamics currently anchor trader focus on the top outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa meilleure course au Sénat de Dems ?
La meilleure course au Sénat de Dems ?
Michigan 55%
Alaska 19%
Maine 16%
Texas 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Michigan
55%
Alaska
19%
Maine
15%
Texas
13%
Ohio
4%
Iowa
3%
Michigan 55%
Alaska 19%
Maine 16%
Texas 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Michigan
$2,587 Vol.
55%
Alaska
$201 Vol.
19%
Maine
$195 Vol.
15%
Texas
$109 Vol.
13%
Ohio
$273 Vol.
4%
Iowa
$109 Vol.
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate battlegrounds as an open Democratic seat in a state with an even partisan lean, where Gary Peters is retiring and Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Abdul El-Sayed following a competitive August primary. Recent polling averages show the matchup within a few points, aligning with toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters and reflecting the state's history of narrow presidential and Senate margins. In Alaska, Mary Peltola's primary performance and polling against Dan Sullivan sustain interest in that Republican-held contest. Maine's race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson remains close due to the state's recent Democratic tilt and ranked-choice voting. Shifts in Texas and Ohio ratings have also kept those seats in play, though Michigan's structural openness and battleground dynamics currently anchor trader focus on the top outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$3,475Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate battlegrounds as an open Democratic seat in a state with an even partisan lean, where Gary Peters is retiring and Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Abdul El-Sayed following a competitive August primary. Recent polling averages show the matchup within a few points, aligning with toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters and reflecting the state's history of narrow presidential and Senate margins. In Alaska, Mary Peltola's primary performance and polling against Dan Sullivan sustain interest in that Republican-held contest. Maine's race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson remains close due to the state's recent Democratic tilt and ranked-choice voting. Shifts in Texas and Ohio ratings have also kept those seats in play, though Michigan's structural openness and battleground dynamics currently anchor trader focus on the top outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,475Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate battlegrounds as an open Democratic seat in a state with an even partisan lean, where Gary Peters is retiring and Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Abdul El-Sayed following a competitive August primary. Recent polling averages show the matchup within a few points, aligning with toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters and reflecting the state's history of narrow presidential and Senate margins. In Alaska, Mary Peltola's primary performance and polling against Dan Sullivan sustain interest in that Republican-held contest. Maine's race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson remains close due to the state's recent Democratic tilt and ranked-choice voting. Shifts in Texas and Ohio ratings have also kept those seats in play, though Michigan's structural openness and battleground dynamics currently anchor trader focus on the top outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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