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icon for Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté de Kent
Politique·Midterms

Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté de Kent

icon for Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté de Kent
Politique·Midterms

Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté de Kent

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Abdul El-Sayed (D)

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

$864 Vol.

82%

icon for Mike Rogers (R)

Mike Rogers (R)

$648 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Kent County, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding suburbs with a history of Republican strength in federal contests, now factors into trader assessments of the November 3 general election. Statewide polling showing El-Sayed competitive or slightly ahead, combined with Democratic primary turnout patterns and ongoing campaign focus on economic and health-care issues, has elevated his implied probability of carrying the county. Rogers maintains support in more rural western Michigan precincts, yet the market pricing reflects limited recent county-specific shifts or endorsements that would alter the current consensus ahead of scheduled debates and fall voter mobilization efforts.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Volume
$1,513
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Kent County, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding suburbs with a history of Republican strength in federal contests, now factors into trader assessments of the November 3 general election. Statewide polling showing El-Sayed competitive or slightly ahead, combined with Democratic primary turnout patterns and ongoing campaign focus on economic and health-care issues, has elevated his implied probability of carrying the county. Rogers maintains support in more rural western Michigan precincts, yet the market pricing reflects limited recent county-specific shifts or endorsements that would alter the current consensus ahead of scheduled debates and fall voter mobilization efforts.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Volume
$1,513
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Les démocrates vont-ils gagner le comté d'Oakland lors de la course au Sénat du Michigan en 2026 ?

Les démocrates vont-ils gagner le comté d'Oakland lors de la course au Sénat du Michigan en 2026 ?

93%
Oui
icon for Les démocrates vont-ils gagner le comté de Genesee lors de l'élection au Sénat du Michigan en 2026 ?

Les démocrates vont-ils gagner le comté de Genesee lors de l'élection au Sénat du Michigan en 2026 ?

80%
Oui
icon for Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan en 2026 ?

Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan en 2026 ?

47%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté de Kent » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Abdul El-Sayed (D) » à 82%, suivi de « Mike Rogers (R) » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 82¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté de Kent » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté de Kent », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté de Kent » est « Abdul El-Sayed (D) » à 82%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Mike Rogers (R) » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté de Kent » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.