Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding lead in the CA-27 race due to redistricting under Proposition 50, which shifted the northern Los Angeles County district—including Santa Clarita and Antelope Valley areas—toward a more Democratic-leaning electorate by adding voters from the San Fernando Valley while removing Republican-leaning precincts. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising advantages, and unified Democratic support after advancing through the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Jason Gibbs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the November 3 general election outcome in this low-competition environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-27
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-27
$13,476 Vol.
$13,476 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$13,476 Vol.
$13,476 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,526 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$7,951 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding lead in the CA-27 race due to redistricting under Proposition 50, which shifted the northern Los Angeles County district—including Santa Clarita and Antelope Valley areas—toward a more Democratic-leaning electorate by adding voters from the San Fernando Valley while removing Republican-leaning precincts. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising advantages, and unified Democratic support after advancing through the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Jason Gibbs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the November 3 general election outcome in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$13,476Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding lead in the CA-27 race due to redistricting under Proposition 50, which shifted the northern Los Angeles County district—including Santa Clarita and Antelope Valley areas—toward a more Democratic-leaning electorate by adding voters from the San Fernando Valley while removing Republican-leaning precincts. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising advantages, and unified Democratic support after advancing through the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Jason Gibbs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the November 3 general election outcome in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,476Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding lead in the CA-27 race due to redistricting under Proposition 50, which shifted the northern Los Angeles County district—including Santa Clarita and Antelope Valley areas—toward a more Democratic-leaning electorate by adding voters from the San Fernando Valley while removing Republican-leaning precincts. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising advantages, and unified Democratic support after advancing through the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Jason Gibbs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the November 3 general election outcome in this low-competition environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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