With the 2026 midterm elections weeks away, trader consensus on total House turnout clusters tightly around the 115-130 million range because multiple competitive battleground districts and national mobilization drives by both major parties create offsetting effects on participation. Recent campaign announcements, early voting expansions in key states, and ongoing voter registration efforts have kept projections fluid, while historical midterm patterns show turnout often hinges on localized enthusiasm gaps and economic sentiment. Scheduled events such as candidate debates and final get-out-the-vote pushes in swing areas could still shift volumes, and the close pricing across several brackets underscores how small changes in ballot access rules or issue salience may determine the final count.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour125-130m 23%
115-120m 19%
120-125 millions 19%
110-115 millions 15%
$28,372 Vol.
$28,372 Vol.
<85M
1%
85-90 millions
<1%
90-95 millions
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
7%
110-115 millions
15%
115-120m
19%
120-125 millions
19%
125-130m
23%
130M+
5%
125-130m 23%
115-120m 19%
120-125 millions 19%
110-115 millions 15%
$28,372 Vol.
$28,372 Vol.
<85M
1%
85-90 millions
<1%
90-95 millions
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
7%
110-115 millions
15%
115-120m
19%
120-125 millions
19%
125-130m
23%
130M+
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 midterm elections weeks away, trader consensus on total House turnout clusters tightly around the 115-130 million range because multiple competitive battleground districts and national mobilization drives by both major parties create offsetting effects on participation. Recent campaign announcements, early voting expansions in key states, and ongoing voter registration efforts have kept projections fluid, while historical midterm patterns show turnout often hinges on localized enthusiasm gaps and economic sentiment. Scheduled events such as candidate debates and final get-out-the-vote pushes in swing areas could still shift volumes, and the close pricing across several brackets underscores how small changes in ballot access rules or issue salience may determine the final count.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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