The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, following House approval of four articles on betrayal of public trust, graft, corruption, and bribery, has produced a closely balanced trader view near even odds. Senate composition includes a notable bloc aligned with the Duterte family, while procedural questions persist over the two-thirds conviction threshold of 16 votes out of 24, given absences or legal issues affecting several senator-judges. Prosecution evidence on confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and related allegations continues to be presented, yet the extended schedule into 2027 and potential shifts in senator participation or alliances sustain uncertainty. Key upcoming factors include witness testimony strength, any Supreme Court or internal rulings on voting rules, and developments that could alter attendance or political alignments before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
51% chance
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
51% chance
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, following House approval of four articles on betrayal of public trust, graft, corruption, and bribery, has produced a closely balanced trader view near even odds. Senate composition includes a notable bloc aligned with the Duterte family, while procedural questions persist over the two-thirds conviction threshold of 16 votes out of 24, given absences or legal issues affecting several senator-judges. Prosecution evidence on confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and related allegations continues to be presented, yet the extended schedule into 2027 and potential shifts in senator participation or alliances sustain uncertainty. Key upcoming factors include witness testimony strength, any Supreme Court or internal rulings on voting rules, and developments that could alter attendance or political alignments before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$12,170End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, following House approval of four articles on betrayal of public trust, graft, corruption, and bribery, has produced a closely balanced trader view near even odds. Senate composition includes a notable bloc aligned with the Duterte family, while procedural questions persist over the two-thirds conviction threshold of 16 votes out of 24, given absences or legal issues affecting several senator-judges. Prosecution evidence on confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and related allegations continues to be presented, yet the extended schedule into 2027 and potential shifts in senator participation or alliances sustain uncertainty. Key upcoming factors include witness testimony strength, any Supreme Court or internal rulings on voting rules, and developments that could alter attendance or political alignments before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$12,170End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, following House approval of four articles on betrayal of public trust, graft, corruption, and bribery, has produced a closely balanced trader view near even odds. Senate composition includes a notable bloc aligned with the Duterte family, while procedural questions persist over the two-thirds conviction threshold of 16 votes out of 24, given absences or legal issues affecting several senator-judges. Prosecution evidence on confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and related allegations continues to be presented, yet the extended schedule into 2027 and potential shifts in senator participation or alliances sustain uncertainty. Key upcoming factors include witness testimony strength, any Supreme Court or internal rulings on voting rules, and developments that could alter attendance or political alignments before the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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