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icon for García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

icon for García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$973 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$432 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Samuel García remains governor of Nuevo León amid ongoing tensions with the opposition-controlled state legislature.** An impeachment process advanced in June 2026 when congressional commissions approved charges related to alleged diversion of public funds, granting him a 15-day response window before potential full-chamber consideration. The Mexican Supreme Court (SCJN) has intervened with constitutional protections, suspending removal during proceedings and highlighting procedural barriers typical in such cases. Historical budget disputes and institutional gridlock between the executive and PRI-PAN legislators have shaped the environment, while García continues official duties and public appearances. Resolution timing hinges on legislative votes requiring supermajorities, further court rulings, or any negotiated exit before the end of his term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$973
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Samuel García remains governor of Nuevo León amid ongoing tensions with the opposition-controlled state legislature.** An impeachment process advanced in June 2026 when congressional commissions approved charges related to alleged diversion of public funds, granting him a 15-day response window before potential full-chamber consideration. The Mexican Supreme Court (SCJN) has intervened with constitutional protections, suspending removal during proceedings and highlighting procedural barriers typical in such cases. Historical budget disputes and institutional gridlock between the executive and PRI-PAN legislators have shaped the environment, while García continues official duties and public appearances. Resolution timing hinges on legislative votes requiring supermajorities, further court rulings, or any negotiated exit before the end of his term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$973
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 7%, followed by "July 31, 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?" is "December 31, 2026" at just 7%, with "July 31, 2026" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.