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Politics·Israel

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

icon for Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
Politics·Israel

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

$52,581 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$52,581 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$1,052 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has repeatedly conditioned any direct contact with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on first securing a security agreement or non-aggression pact, alongside an end to Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon. As of June 2026, Aoun publicly urged negotiations while ruling out a meeting or call until those steps occur, citing the need to restore state authority and limit external influence. Earlier US-backed proposals for talks or a White House encounter in spring 2026 did not advance amid ongoing border tensions and Hezbollah-related hostilities. Traders are tracking any shifts in Lebanese or Israeli positions, US diplomatic pressure, or progress in indirect channels that could enable or block leader-level dialogue by the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$52,581
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has repeatedly conditioned any direct contact with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on first securing a security agreement or non-aggression pact, alongside an end to Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon. As of June 2026, Aoun publicly urged negotiations while ruling out a meeting or call until those steps occur, citing the need to restore state authority and limit external influence. Earlier US-backed proposals for talks or a White House encounter in spring 2026 did not advance amid ongoing border tensions and Hezbollah-related hostilities. Traders are tracking any shifts in Lebanese or Israeli positions, US diplomatic pressure, or progress in indirect channels that could enable or block leader-level dialogue by the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$52,581
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 18%, followed by "April 17" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" has generated $52.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is "December 31" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 17" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.