Haley Thogmartin’s Week 4 Head of Household win has solidified the dominant Red Corner/Toolshed alliance’s grip on the game after they controlled the prior three HOH reigns. Traders are pricing heavy favorites among her reported targets—primarily Taylor, with Melody and Drew as likely nominees—based on live-feed discussions and the group’s recent unanimous eviction of Jason. Key swing factors include the upcoming veto competition, Block Buster performance, and any last-minute alliance fractures or powers that could shift the block. Historical precedent shows Big Brother’s underdogs can upset frontrunners when competitions break their way, though the current house consensus favors the alliance’s preferred outcome heading into nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWho will be evicted from Big Brother? (Week 4)
Who will be evicted from Big Brother? (Week 4)
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
Melody Morris
51%
Taylor Brown
51%
Drew Campbell
50%
Haley Thogmartin
50%
Kamu Kirk
50%
Rick Devens
50%
Chuk Anyanwu
50%
Mallory Aurichio
50%
Angela Murray
49%
Barrett Pfeiffer
48%
Lyric Medeiros
48%
Dee Valladares
47%
LaTrice Verrett
47%
Yash Patel
46%
$0.00 Vol.
Melody Morris
$0 Vol.
51%
Taylor Brown
$0 Vol.
51%
Drew Campbell
$0 Vol.
50%
Haley Thogmartin
$0 Vol.
50%
Kamu Kirk
$0 Vol.
50%
Rick Devens
$0 Vol.
50%
Chuk Anyanwu
$0 Vol.
50%
Mallory Aurichio
$0 Vol.
50%
Angela Murray
$0 Vol.
49%
Barrett Pfeiffer
$0 Vol.
48%
Lyric Medeiros
$0 Vol.
48%
Dee Valladares
$0 Vol.
47%
LaTrice Verrett
$0 Vol.
47%
Yash Patel
$0 Vol.
46%
Big Brother season 28 premiered on July 9, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance.
Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count.
If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction.
This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting. Haley Thogmartin’s Week 4 Head of Household win has solidified the dominant Red Corner/Toolshed alliance’s grip on the game after they controlled the prior three HOH reigns. Traders are pricing heavy favorites among her reported targets—primarily Taylor, with Melody and Drew as likely nominees—based on live-feed discussions and the group’s recent unanimous eviction of Jason. Key swing factors include the upcoming veto competition, Block Buster performance, and any last-minute alliance fractures or powers that could shift the block. Historical precedent shows Big Brother’s underdogs can upset frontrunners when competitions break their way, though the current house consensus favors the alliance’s preferred outcome heading into nominations.
Big Brother season 28 premiered on July 9, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance.
Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count.
If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction.
This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance.
Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count.
If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction.
This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Big Brother season 28 premiered on July 9, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance.
Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count.
If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction.
This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting. Haley Thogmartin’s Week 4 Head of Household win has solidified the dominant Red Corner/Toolshed alliance’s grip on the game after they controlled the prior three HOH reigns. Traders are pricing heavy favorites among her reported targets—primarily Taylor, with Melody and Drew as likely nominees—based on live-feed discussions and the group’s recent unanimous eviction of Jason. Key swing factors include the upcoming veto competition, Block Buster performance, and any last-minute alliance fractures or powers that could shift the block. Historical precedent shows Big Brother’s underdogs can upset frontrunners when competitions break their way, though the current house consensus favors the alliance’s preferred outcome heading into nominations.
Big Brother season 28 premiered on July 9, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance.
Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count.
If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction.
This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance.
Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count.
If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction.
This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Haley Thogmartin’s Week 4 Head of Household win has solidified the dominant Red Corner/Toolshed alliance’s grip on the game after they controlled the prior three HOH reigns. Traders are pricing heavy favorites among her reported targets—primarily Taylor, with Melody and Drew as likely nominees—based on live-feed discussions and the group’s recent unanimous eviction of Jason. Key swing factors include the upcoming veto competition, Block Buster performance, and any last-minute alliance fractures or powers that could shift the block. Historical precedent shows Big Brother’s underdogs can upset frontrunners when competitions break their way, though the current house consensus favors the alliance’s preferred outcome heading into nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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