**Widow’s Bay** has surged to frontrunner status in the Outstanding Comedy Series market thanks to its breakout critical reception and strong nomination haul for a freshman Apple TV horror-comedy, including nods for lead actor Matthew Rhys and key below-the-line categories. Its word-of-mouth momentum, TCA recognition, and fresh appeal contrast with the more established **Hacks**, which enters its final season with a record 24 nominations and Jean Smart’s perennial lead actress contention but faces competition from newer contenders. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Shrinking**, trail far behind with minimal implied probability, reflecting limited late momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in the late-breaking series’ campaign edge while acknowledging **Hacks**’ substantial guild and precursor strength as the key swing factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series
“Widow’s Bay” 62%
“Hacks” 35.1%
“Abbott Elementary” 1.0%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles” <1%
$83,072 Vol.
$83,072 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“Widow’s Bay”
62%
“Hacks”
35%
“Abbott Elementary”
1%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
1%
“Shrinking”
1%
“The Bear”
<1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
<1%
“Nobody Wants This”
<1%
“Widow’s Bay” 62%
“Hacks” 35.1%
“Abbott Elementary” 1.0%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles” <1%
$83,072 Vol.
$83,072 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“Widow’s Bay”
$31,021 Vol.
62%
“Hacks”
$16,671 Vol.
35%
“Abbott Elementary”
$5,363 Vol.
1%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$5,463 Vol.
1%
“Shrinking”
$5,615 Vol.
1%
“The Bear”
$6,644 Vol.
<1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
$5,404 Vol.
<1%
“Nobody Wants This”
$6,891 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay** has surged to frontrunner status in the Outstanding Comedy Series market thanks to its breakout critical reception and strong nomination haul for a freshman Apple TV horror-comedy, including nods for lead actor Matthew Rhys and key below-the-line categories. Its word-of-mouth momentum, TCA recognition, and fresh appeal contrast with the more established **Hacks**, which enters its final season with a record 24 nominations and Jean Smart’s perennial lead actress contention but faces competition from newer contenders. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Shrinking**, trail far behind with minimal implied probability, reflecting limited late momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in the late-breaking series’ campaign edge while acknowledging **Hacks**’ substantial guild and precursor strength as the key swing factor.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$83,072End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay** has surged to frontrunner status in the Outstanding Comedy Series market thanks to its breakout critical reception and strong nomination haul for a freshman Apple TV horror-comedy, including nods for lead actor Matthew Rhys and key below-the-line categories. Its word-of-mouth momentum, TCA recognition, and fresh appeal contrast with the more established **Hacks**, which enters its final season with a record 24 nominations and Jean Smart’s perennial lead actress contention but faces competition from newer contenders. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Shrinking**, trail far behind with minimal implied probability, reflecting limited late momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in the late-breaking series’ campaign edge while acknowledging **Hacks**’ substantial guild and precursor strength as the key swing factor.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,072End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Widow’s Bay** has surged to frontrunner status in the Outstanding Comedy Series market thanks to its breakout critical reception and strong nomination haul for a freshman Apple TV horror-comedy, including nods for lead actor Matthew Rhys and key below-the-line categories. Its word-of-mouth momentum, TCA recognition, and fresh appeal contrast with the more established **Hacks**, which enters its final season with a record 24 nominations and Jean Smart’s perennial lead actress contention but faces competition from newer contenders. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Shrinking**, trail far behind with minimal implied probability, reflecting limited late momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in the late-breaking series’ campaign edge while acknowledging **Hacks**’ substantial guild and precursor strength as the key swing factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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