The Traitors holds overwhelming market-implied odds at 90.4% due to its back-to-back Emmy wins in the category, a dominant 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep for best competition series, and sustained critical and viewer momentum from recent seasons hosted by Alan Cumming. Its fresh format and strong Peacock campaign contrast with the veteran nominees, aligning with academy preferences for recent excellence over longevity in this peer group. With final-round voting closed and the September 14 ceremony imminent, an upset would require a late swing toward Survivor’s milestone season or Dancing with the Stars’ renewed visibility, though such shifts remain unlikely given the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series
“The Traitors” 91.7%
“Dancing with the Stars” 4.9%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 3.9%
“Survivor” 3.6%
$31,837 Vol.
$31,837 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Traitors”
92%
“Dancing with the Stars”
5%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
4%
“Survivor”
4%
“Top Chef”
1%
“The Traitors” 91.7%
“Dancing with the Stars” 4.9%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 3.9%
“Survivor” 3.6%
$31,837 Vol.
$31,837 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Traitors”
$14,786 Vol.
92%
“Dancing with the Stars”
$1,702 Vol.
5%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
$4,060 Vol.
4%
“Survivor”
$9,747 Vol.
4%
“Top Chef”
$1,542 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors holds overwhelming market-implied odds at 90.4% due to its back-to-back Emmy wins in the category, a dominant 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep for best competition series, and sustained critical and viewer momentum from recent seasons hosted by Alan Cumming. Its fresh format and strong Peacock campaign contrast with the veteran nominees, aligning with academy preferences for recent excellence over longevity in this peer group. With final-round voting closed and the September 14 ceremony imminent, an upset would require a late swing toward Survivor’s milestone season or Dancing with the Stars’ renewed visibility, though such shifts remain unlikely given the current consensus.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$31,837End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors holds overwhelming market-implied odds at 90.4% due to its back-to-back Emmy wins in the category, a dominant 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep for best competition series, and sustained critical and viewer momentum from recent seasons hosted by Alan Cumming. Its fresh format and strong Peacock campaign contrast with the veteran nominees, aligning with academy preferences for recent excellence over longevity in this peer group. With final-round voting closed and the September 14 ceremony imminent, an upset would require a late swing toward Survivor’s milestone season or Dancing with the Stars’ renewed visibility, though such shifts remain unlikely given the current consensus.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,837End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Traitors holds overwhelming market-implied odds at 90.4% due to its back-to-back Emmy wins in the category, a dominant 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep for best competition series, and sustained critical and viewer momentum from recent seasons hosted by Alan Cumming. Its fresh format and strong Peacock campaign contrast with the veteran nominees, aligning with academy preferences for recent excellence over longevity in this peer group. With final-round voting closed and the September 14 ceremony imminent, an upset would require a late swing toward Survivor’s milestone season or Dancing with the Stars’ renewed visibility, though such shifts remain unlikely given the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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